共和党はカルト集団になってしまっているからアメリカ合衆国に独裁者は政権を握る恐れはある、とカナダの政治研究者が注意する。

PODCASTアプリ(Spotify, iTunes, などなど）で音声だけも聞けますよ：検索 “tensaimon”

(下にスクロールすると英語のセリフありますよ↓↓↓）

TRANSCRIPT:

おはようございます、サイモン天才モンの

ネット通訳担当tensaimon translates the internet へよこそう

塘路の斧ですが、英語圏のインターネットを日本語母国語のあなたにわかりやすくする番~で〜す！

テーマは：社会善！社会を改善して・・・世界を救おうことだね・・・

一緒に頑張っていきましょうか？

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OPENING:NET ARTICLE

今日はネット記事を紹介しますから、so let’s fire up the interconnected network of computers, and see what we can find……..oh wow this looks interesting

今日の記事は######.comからです

######article title, その訳, date

はい、読み上げながら、まとめながら、訳しましょう！

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By 2025, American democracy could collapse – Canada must prepare

By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a right-wing dictatorship. This is a very real possibility – I’ve studied violent conflict (war, social breakdown, revolution) for more than 40 years – I now see signs of the same breakdown in the US. What should Canada do then?

The breakdown of democracy in the US is caused by 6 trends:

1. distrust of central government

– Right from the declaration of independence (from Great Britain) the US has had a distrust in government.

– The civil war was fought by the south against the government of the north.

– Broadcast media (Fox News) fans so much distrust of government that the country is becoming ungovernable (Tensakunaimon says: the US can’t even get people to wear masks!!!)

2. economic inequality

Inflation-adjusted wages for the average male worker are lower than in 1979, meanwhile CEO incomes are 271 times that.

And this rich elite don’t want to pay the taxes, so the government can’t invest in public services or lessen inequality – This contributes to (1) distrust of government: when the government can’t solve everyday problems, people give up on it.

3. Democraphic trends

White Christians are now a minority in America: right-wing ideologues have inflamed fears that traditional U.S. culture is being erased – Barack Obama’s election increased these anxieties. By weaponizing people’s fear and anger, right wing extremists have transformed the GOP into a near-fascist personality cult .

4. Distrust of democratic process

Mr. Trump’s “Big Lie” (that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him) is very dangerous because if enough people no longer believe in democracy then democracy can’t survive.

5. Political polarization

The political right and left both believe that the other is out to destroy the country they love. The GOP (and its supporters) is now devoted to victory at any cost: they are now defending the January 6^th attack on Capitol Hill as “patriotic” actions that were needed to save US democracy

6. Guns and violence The population is armed to the teeth, with somewhere around 400 million firearms in the hands of civilians, and many aspects of US culture glorify war and violence.

To summarize: the Republican party has become a combination of

(1)anti-government

(2)free-market plutocrats and

(3)racially anxious ethno-nationalist activists and voters

and is now using

(4) distrust of democratic process

and

(5) political polarization

to foment political instability, which because of the

(6)US acceptance of violence

could lead to something resembling civil war.

This situation increasingly resembles the rise of Nazism in 1930’s Germany :

a charismatic leader unifying right-wing extremists using
a lie about how internal enemies have betrayed the country – for the Nazis, the “stab in the back” lie that Germany lost WWI because of German socialists and Jews; for Trumpists, the Big Lie that the election was stolen
meanwhile conventional conservatives believe they can control the rising extremism, and opponents aren’t taking the threat seriously enough,
A move towards a radicalization of a society’s understandings of how to stay safe – this typically occurs in times of political and economic crisis. The United States today is in the midst of one crisis – the pandemic – but could soon experience worse: a war with Russia, Iran or China, or a financial crisis when economic bubbles burst.
These can move toward an irreversible tipping point.: democratic collapse followed by a dictatorship.

(tensakunaimon says: don’t forget: the US has the largest and most powerful military the world has ever known….)

What will happen next?

Maybe Republicans win the 2022 mid-term and then 2024 presidential elections: voters, ground down by the pandemic, angry about inflation, and tired of President Joe Biden bumbling from one crisis to another, will vote Republican. Or maybe the Republicans will win by cheating: voter repression and gerrymandering.

Maybe the Democrats will win when Republican mistakes accumulate, or when the radicalized Republican base – so fanatically loyal to Mr. Trump – can’t grow larger and will dissipate.

Perhaps another contested election: whether Democrats or Republicans win, the other side will claim foul play – the eventual result might depend on the military…

Maybe American federalism will mean an authoritarian president will never be able to achieve full authoritarian control.

Maybe the military will limit the formation or action of a dictatorship: during the first Trump administration the military repeatedly resisted the president’s authoritarian impulses.

However, maybe the inflamed tensions – both sides hate each other – will mean events spiral out of control: something resembling civil war is one possibility. A dictatorship is another.

Canada needs to get ready for these possibilities: What happens, for instance, if political refugees arrive in our country, and the U.S. regime demands them back? Do we comply?A terrible storm is coming from the south, and Canada is woefully unprepared.

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CLOS ING TODAY’S CONTENT:

…..

Ok that’s all from today’s article/book/news

今日の読み上げながら、まとめながら、訳しながら、ながらがらがらがら・・・以上ですね！

はい、ちょっと関連リンクを紹介しましょう：

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Hey Simon what do you think?

私に一コメントさせていただければ・・・

Let me get my tea…sound effect…so I can do some drinking with my thinking….

Like a lot of people, I follow US politics even though I’m not a US citizen. And I have a lot of US friends on social media, and I’m in some US-based groups. And I find it pretty shocking how divided and angry the US is – people won’t even wear masks to control a pandemic, they turned even masks into a political conflict! So, yes, I do think there is the very real possibility that the US will fall into a dictatorship.

That’s what I think – thanks for letting me vent!

気持ちを吐き出させてくれて・・・ありがとうね❤

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Hey listeners what do you think?

Your turn to vent!

Would you like some tea?

1.Do you think American is heading towards a dictatorship? Do you think it’s going to get there?

2.What do you think this means for Japan and Okinawa?

どうぞ vent your thoughts and feelings on this issue – send me an email! to

######@######

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EPISODE ENDING